PREDICTION
By T.J. Troup
The final game of the season, and just finished watching the only pre-game show that is worth a damn—in fact NFL MATCH-UP is always worth watching. Greg Cosell & Louis Riddick not only study and understand the game, they explain what they see so very well.
For today the show began with "red zone" offense and defense. Brady's ability to put points on the board when the Patriots get to the red zone has been well documented. How does he do it? His ability to read coverage and throw accurately into the "tight windows" is why he is an all-time elite QB.
The key man is going to be Malcolm Jenkins of the Eagles; can he cover Gronkowski by himself, or will he need help? Terrific Tom has no problem making the quick adjustment and throwing to another receiver.
The best example you ask? Amendola on the back line of the end zone against J-Ville. Philadelphia relishes the run-pass option and by using motion can give Foles the read if the Patriots are in man or zone.
The other tight end—in this case, Zach E. of Philly is going to be a key ingredient if the Eagles are to score in the red zone. As this season progressed Matt Patricia's Patriot defense improved dramatically against the pass (they were very porous beginning of the year). The disguised coverage by New England forced opposing quarterbacks to hold the ball longer, and the Patriot pass rush became an important factor.
Nick F. must read quickly to ensure success and keep the chains moving; and as such can keep pace with Brady. Louis Riddick detailed the New England kickoff return and did a superb job detailing the open field blocks by the Patriots for Dion Lewis.
Greg Cosell explained that this Patriot defense is not as fast in pursuit as past champion New England teams. Thus, look for the Eagles to try and run the perimeter. For me, the key man in this game is right guard for Philadelphia #79 Brooks. He is such a strong quick run blocker he can make the "reach block" on the defensive tackle in the gap, and allow the center Kelce to pull and lead. All teams would relish doing this, but most teams do not have a guard as adept as #79.
Will Bill B. have his defense adjust? Yes! Last year his half-time run defense adjustment gave the Patriots a slim chance to come back when down 25 points, and we all saw that was accomplished. In summation, there is going to be a few bucks wagered today, and as a man who made successful bets years ago—take a long hard look at the over/under.
The last 14 games the Patriots have played; 4 overs & 10 unders. The last 9 games for the Eagles 3 overs and 6 unders and as of right now the over/under is 49. Scores like 24-20 and 26-21 are a very real possibility—thus play the UNDER and enjoy the game.
It hasn't happened yet and I continue to hope it doesn't that working for ESPN 'ruins' Louis Riddick. Since ESPN is more about rumors (many fabricated out of thin air) and saying ridiculous things for attention and ratings.
ReplyDeleteAlways liked Riddick since I first saw him playing for the Sacramento Surge in 1992. Was interested about their new safety since Greg Coauette has played so great for the Surge in 1991 - then they traded him and he retired instead of going to Ohio. And they traded him because they had Riddick who was a poor mans "Ronnie Lott of the World League" and a solid piece on that defense (along with Michael Sinclair, Mike Jones and co.) that helped Sacramento win the World Bowl in 1992.
Followed his career since then, wish he had got to do more in the NFL. Especially since I thought he fit in so well with the teams he went to and the style they played (at least the Browns and Raiders).
Regardless, had enough football credentials as a great high school player (I learned later) and obviously playing in the NFL was all more than enough to have real football credentials.
Added the cherry on top with scouting. I'm always excited when former players are scouts (how it should be).
I thought he'd be great on ESPN so I was surprised when everyone else was surprised and didn't know who he was when he had his breakout performance during draft coverage years back.