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Saturday, December 30, 2023
Andre Johnson—The Next WR to Make the HOF?
Friday, December 29, 2023
What London Fletcher Fans Need to Know About Hall-of-Fame Voting
Fletcher has been eligible since 2019, but it took him five years to become a semifinalist as one of 26 for the Class of 2023. He returned to that group for the Hall's Class of 2024 but again failed to advance when its 15 finalists were named this week.
Optimists see Fletcher's path as one of progress, citing the traction he's made over the past two years. But his supporters, particularly the Washington fan base, aren't happy and took their anger to social media after this week's announcement.
Here's a sample of what they had to say on X (formerly Twitter) --
-- "London Fletcher getting snubbed again (broken heart emoji)"
-- "London Fletcher not making it is crazy London Fletcher not making it is crazy"
--"How the (expletive deleted) is Patrick Willis a finalist for the Hall Of Fame but London Fletcher isn't?"
-- "London Fletcher is being done so dirty! #HTTC"
-- "They just gonna keep doing this to London Fletcher? (sad emoji)"
-- "How is London Fletcher not on here!? Oh that’s right - he played most of his career in Washington, that why. Ridiculous"
-- "Complete (b.s.) how London Fletcher continues to get snubbed."
-- "London Fletcher is still boxed out…smh"
But it's not just Washington fans. Fletcher played for the Rams and Bills before finishing his 16-year career with Washington, and Rams' followers are upset, too (a bit less so with BillsMafia) ... and I must admit: They have a compelling argument..
The 5-foot-10, 242-pound Fletcher did put up big defensive numbers compared to linebackers of his era, with one meme on social media comparing his statistics to Ravens' Hall-of-Fame linebacker Ray Lewis. It reads like this:
-- Fletcher played 16 seasons; Lewis 17
-- Fletcher played 256 games; Lewis played in 2008
-- Fletcher is credited with 2,039 tackles; Lewis totaled 2,059
-- Both were credited with 19 forced fumbles.
-- Fletcher intercepted 23 passes; Lewis pilfered 31.
-- Fletcher blitzed his way to 39-1/2 sacks; Lewis had just two more -- 41-1/2.
The memes I've seen don't include Super Bowl rings, but they should. Fletcher won one, and Lewis earned two. That is certainly a positive. So, the logic follows that with numbers in the same ballpark as Lewis, London Fletcher should absolutley be a finalist ... even worthy of a Gold Jacket.
To his fans, that's a no-brainer.
But let's pump the brakes here. There's more to the story of an NFL player than just stats. No question, numbers are an important box to check for a Hall-of-Fame candidate. But there are others, too, with postseason honors at or near the top..
For seemingly forever, Hall voters favored players named to All-Pro first-teams or Pro Bowls more often than they did those with fewer selections, and that's understandable. Voters included NFL writers and media members who annually chose All-Pro teams, either for the AP and/or PFWA ... or now defunct wire services. Toward the end of each season, writers were asked to submit ballots naming the best players at each position. And when votes were counted, the winners were your All-Pro team.
At the end of a player's career, he can -- and often is -- identified by All-Pro designations, and those with more years generally are considered the game's top players. The "elite," if you will.
The same is true for the Pro Bowl, the NFL's all-star game which was voted on by players and coaches. While it became less meaningful when fans began to vote, it still plays a role and carries some weight with Hall voters.
Yet all these postseason honors -- All-Pro, Pro Bowl, All-AFC or All-NFC, etc., the "alls" as it were -- aren't included in the London Fletcher memes that exploded this week. Why? Because they don't promote his Hall-of-Fame campaign. In fact, they hurt it,
Here's why:.Ray Lewis was an AP first-team All-Pro seven times and was voted to the Pro Bowl 12 times. Fletcher was never a first-team All-Pro and was never voted to the Pro Bowl. Granted, he did go to four as a replacement and was second-team All-Pro twice. So he wasn't shut out.
Whether that is fair ... or that AP voters got it wrong for a decade and a half ... or that Fletcher should've made first-team ... really doesn't make a difference. There is no way to compare Fletcher's career to Lewis. The Ravens' linebacker was so dominant that he was one of the best, if not the best, inside linebacker in the NFL.
Then there's the case of the inside linebacker who did make the Final 15 -- Patrick Willis, who played eight seasons for the San Francisco 49ers. He had a productive, albeit short, career that ended prematurely because of injury. As such, his career tackles and relevant "splash" plays don't reach the totals of Fletcher (or Lewis) ... as Fletcher backers noticed.
"Hate to. Say but London Fletcher had better numbers," read one message comparing Fletcher with Willis.
If by "numbers" the writer means individual defensive stats, he's right. But if you look at other numbers -- the "alls" -- he's not. Willis was a consensus first-team All-Pro five times and second-team once. He was voted to seven Pro Bowls, only missing his final season in a career cut short by injury.
As Peter King once said, "All-Pro teams don't mean everything, but they don't mean 'nothing', either."
To the 50 voters who comprise the Hall's board of selectors, they do mean something. They pushed Willis into the Final 15 and made him a legitimate candidate for election. Moreover, they're almost certainly why Fletcher didn't graduate from a semifinalist.
During Willis' career, AP voters thought he was the best of the best. In his five seasons as a first-team All-Pro, he was the leading vote-getter for his position, sometimes by a wide margin.
Little-known fact: From the mid-1980s through the mid-2010s, the AP almost always included two inside-linebacker slots on its defensive All-Pro teams, making the unit 12 players. Consequently, the second-leading candidate was considered first-team All-Pro, something that doesn't happen now.
With most teams playing the 3-4 in the 1980s, the AP thought it fairer to have two slots. But when defenses swung back to the 4-3 in the 1990s, the slot was kept. Things leveled out in the 2000s with teams switching back and forth, so maybe two slots were appropriate.
Nonetheless, Willis was the top guy in each of his All-Pro seasons. Fletcher was not. Nor was he close. That's not to say there isn't room for an individual who has a strong statistical case but may lack the "alls." There is, and there are those exceptions.
Consider that good news for Fletcher's candidacy. It will boost his chances when the small but tough linebacker reaches the Final 15, which he should at some point. Until then, he must wait his turn while Willis gets his bust in Canton.
Tuesday, December 26, 2023
TUESDAY TIDBITS: "And What a Game It Was"
Otto Graham |
"Ghost to the Post" by Merv Corning |
Sunday, December 24, 2023
Predictions for Hall of Fame Class of 2024 Final 15
- Jared Allen, DE
- Willie Anderson, T
- Jahri Evans, G
- Dwight Freeney, DE
- Antonio Gates, TE
- Devin Hester, Ret
- Torry Holt, WR
- Andre Johnson, WR
- Julius Peppers, DE
- Reggie Wayne, WR
- Patrick Willis, LB
- Darren Woodson, S
Packers Slip Past Win-Starved Panthers
By Eric Goska
Aaron Jones, shown here in a preseason game, rushed for 127 yards against the Panthers. (photo by Eric Goska) |
Over the years, the Packers have played dozens of teams that had
10 or more losses. In most cases, Green Bay prevailed.
This tradition of dispatching bottom feeders continued –
barely –as the Green and Gold staved off Carolina 33-30 at Bank of America
Stadium. The win was hard earned as the Packers had to weather a last-ditch
effort by the Panthers that came within a whisker of forcing overtime.
Teams with 10 or more losses can be ticking time bombs. With little to lose, they can play loose and take chances.
With the worst record in the NFL, the Panthers have embraced
the role of spoiler. A week before hosting the Packers, they dealt a blow to
Atlanta’s postseason aspirations by edging the Falcons 9-7.
Sunday, they did their best to upend Green Bay’s run for the playoffs.
The Packers first encountered a 10-game loser on Nov. 27,
1930 when they, with a record of 8-2, traveled to Philadelphia to face the
Yellow Jackets (4-11-1). Red Dunn threw three touchdown passes as Green Bay
romped 25-7.
A year later, the Pack (11-1) took on the Dodgers (2-10) at
Ebbets Field. Verne Lewellen’s 1-yard scoring plunge proved the difference as Green
Bay escaped with a 7-0 triumph.
With 14-game (or fewer) schedules in effect from 1932
through 1977, the Packers only faced six 10-game losers during those 46 seasons. They went 5-1 with the
lone loss coming in Atlanta where the Falcons (2-11) beat them in the 1974
season finale.
Most of the contests involving 10-game losers have come
after the NFL went to a 16-game schedule in 1978. Green Bay has faced 29 such
opponents in the last 45 seasons.
Overall, Green Bay is 30-7 against teams with 10 or more
losses. The last Packers stumble against a win-starved club occurred on Jan. 9, 2022
when the Lions (2-13-1) toppled them 37-30 to close out the 2021 campaign.
That’s the only time the Green and Gold has dropped a decision
to a team with 12 or more losses.
In Charlotte, Jordan Love’s 5-yard TD toss to Romeo Doubs on
the first play of the fourth quarter gave Green Bay a 30-16 lead. But the game
was far from over as that period is the one in which the Packers have yielded
the most yardage.
Sure enough, Bryce Young, came alive in the final 15
minutes. He completed 13 of 17 passes for 177 yards and two scores (148.4
rating) to pull Carolina into a 30-30 tie with four minutes, five seconds
remaining.
Even after Anders Carlson’s 32-yard field goal put Green Bay
in front 33-30, Young didn’t blink. With 19 seconds and no timeouts
remaining, the rookie from Alabama completed consecutive passes of 22 yards to
D.J. Chark Jr. and Adam Thielen to reach the Packers’ 31-yard line.
But time ran out before Young could spike the ball to stop
the clock. Instead of Eddie Pineiro taking the field to attempt a 49-yard field
goal, the officials declared the game over.
At 7-8, Green Bay still has a chance to reach the playoffs.
To get there, Green Bay will have to defeat the Bears (6-9) who could have 10
losses when the teams meet to wrap up the regular season in a couple of weeks.
Green Bay is 6-0 in games against Bears teams that have had 10 or more losses.
How Green Bay has fared against teams with 12 or more losses.
0-15 Lions Dec. 28, 2008 GB won, 31-21
1-14 Cowboys Dec. 24, 1989 GB won, 20-10
2-13 Lions Dec. 15, 1979 GB won, 18-13
2-13 Buccaneers Dec. 22, 1985 GB won, 20-17
2-13-1 Lions Jan. 9, 2022 GB lost, 30-37
0-12 Browns Dec. 10, 2017 GB won, 27-21
2-12 Buccaneers Dec. 12, 1983 GB won, 12-9
2-12 Buccaneers Dec. 14, 1986 GB won, 21-7
2-12 Buccaneers Dec. 21, 2014 GB won, 20-3
2-12 Panthers Dec. 24, 2023 GB won, 33-30
3-12 Vikings Dec. 16, 1984 GB won, 38-14
Saturday, December 23, 2023
John Abraham—Hall-of-Fame Worthy?
Thursday, December 21, 2023
Ed Budde—RIP
Tuesday, December 19, 2023
TUESDAY TIDBITS: "You Play to Win the Game"
Sunday, December 17, 2023
Baker Mayfield: A Perfect Gentleman at Lambeau Field
By Eric Goska
(photos by Eric Goska) |
Sunday was a perfect day for
football. Ask Baker Mayfield.
Mayfield shredded the Packers
defense as only a handful of quarterbacks have throughout the years. The top
pick in the 2018 draft proved virtually unstoppable, throwing for more than 300
yards and four touchdowns as his Buccaneers overwhelmed Green Bay 34-20 at
Lambeau Field.
On a rainy, dreary afternoon
with temperatures in the low forties, Mayfield completed 22 of 28 passes for
381 yards and four scores. He compiled a perfect passer rating of 158.3.
Until Sunday, Vince Evans of
the Bears had been the only player to max out against Green Bay. Evans nailed
18 of 22 passes for 316 yards and three touchdowns in Chicago’s 61-7 victory in
1980.
Mayfield’s rating never fell
below 112.5. He reached 158.3 for the first time when he connected with Mike
Evans from 19-yards out to put the Buccaneers up 10-7. He got there a second time
on his final pass, a 52-yarder to David Moore that put Tampa Bay up 34-20
with six-and-a-half minutes remaining.
Mayfield completed nine
passes of 20 or more yards. Chris Godwin snagged four of those with Rachaad White (2),
Cade Otton (2) and Moore coming away with the other five.
Since 1921, only two quarterbacks have thrown more 20-yarders while battling the Pack. Matthew Stafford hit on 12 on Jan. 1, 2012 and Ben Roethlisberger had 10 on Dec. 20, 2009. Dak Prescott also had nine in a game in 2019.
Those chunk plays accelerated
Mayfield on his drive to 300. No. 6 needed only 24 attempts to surpass the milestone, getting there on a 22-yard strike to Otton late in the third
quarter.
Only five players – Randall Cunningham,
Vinny Testaverde, Evans, Troy Aikman and Tua Tagovailoa – needed fewer attempts
to reach that benchmark against Green Bay. All but Tagovailoa came away
victorious.
Mayfield became the 87th
player to surpass 300 yards passing aginst the Packers in a regular-season game.
He is the seventh to do so while throwing at least four TDs and no
interceptions.
That Mayfield had his way is somewhat
surprising. Since Matt LeFleur became coach in 2019, Green Bay had permitted
just nine individual 300-yard passing performances, tied with the Saints for
the fewest over that span.
Surrendering 300 yards passing to an individual is not a death knell. The
Packers own a winning record (65-56-1) under those circumstances.
But when Green Bay
fast-tracks quarterbacks as it did with Mayfield, the story is different. The
Green and Gold is 6-25 when opposing field generals lay claim to 300 in fewer
than 30 pass attempts.
To their credit, the Packers sacked Mayfield five times for 28 yards in losses. But it hardly mattered. Because of Mayfield’s hot hand, Tampa Bay wound up averaging 10.7 yards per pass play, the highest by a Green Bay opponent since Christmas 2022 when the Dolphins managed 10.9 in a losing effort.
Fewest pass attempts needed to reach 300 yards passing by an opposing quarterback against the Packers in a regular-season game.
Atts. Quarterback Team Date Result
20 Randall Cunningham Vikings Oct. 5, 1998 GB lost, 24-37
21 Vinny Testaverde Buccaneers Sept. 13, 1992 GB lost, 3-31
22 Vince Evans Bears Dec. 7, 1980 GB lost, 7-61
22 Troy Aikman Cowboys Oct. 3, 1993 GB lost, 14-36
22 Tua Tagovailoa Dolphins Dec. 25, 2022 GB won, 26-20
24 Peyton Manning Broncos Nov. 1, 2015 GB lost, 10-29
24 Baker Mayfield Buccaneers Dec. 17, 2023 GB lost, 20-34
Saturday, December 16, 2023
SATURDAY SPOTLIGHT: "It Burned the Hell Out of Me"
Credit: Merv Corning |
Game-used Lenny Moore Jersey |