Thursday, April 14, 2016

Is The Rams Move to #1 Overall "Unprecedented Historically"?

By John Turney
Credit:Art of Donalee Houston
From the New York Daily News:
"In return for the top pick and a fourth- and sixth-round picks this year, the Titans receive the Rams first-round pick (15th overall), two second-round picks (Nos. 43 and 45) and a third-round pick (76th) in this year's draft plus Los Angeles' first- and third-round picks in the 2017 draft. No team has ever traded up from as far back as the 15th spot to get to the top spot."

From CBS
"On Thursday morning, the Titans and Rams blew up everyone's mock draft. Lit them all on fire and threw them in the dumpster with a massive trade by Los Angeles to move up to No. 1 overall from No. 15. It's an unprecedented move in terms of vaulting that high and it means we could very well see two quarterbacks go in the top two picks for the third time in 10 years."

Also, Rams head Coach Jeff Fisher confirmed in his press conference that a move that far back to #1 overall is "unprecedented".

Well, what they all mean is this:  It is unprecedented in the salary-cap era, the CBA beginning in 1993.

Since the first common NFL-AFL Draft that began in 1967, two teams have moved from further back to acquire the #1 overall pick.

In 1978 the Houston Oilers moved from #17 in the First round to #1 overall to take Earl Campbell. The Oilers traded tight end Jimmie Giles to the Bucanneers, along with the 17th overall pick, a 1978 second-round pick, a 1979 third-round pick and a 1979 fifth-round pick.

In 1984 the New England Patriots moved from #16 overall to the top slot. The Patriots, to move up fifteen slots sent two 1984 first round picks (#16 and #28) and a 1984 tenth-round pick  and a 1985 fifth-round pick.

Also, as a "for what it's worth" note the Oilers paid about 1450 draft value "points" using the chart developed by Jimmie Johnson to approximate the value of each of the draft picks in the seven rounds of the NFL draft. They gave up a good TE in Giles. The Patriots paid about 1680 draft value "points".

Today, the Rams paid 2720 "points" (2016 values estimated mid-round and discounted one round) and received "3089 total draft value "points"

One note: the 2016 3rd rounder the Titans would receive is conditional on the Rams receiving a compensatory 3rd round pick. Les Snead said that is written into the contract language, so the value or "points" could be even less than the 2720 if Rams get that comp. pick since it would be lower than a mid-round estimate. If the Rams don’t get that third-round comp. pick, the Titans get the Rams’ original third-round pick and it will trigger a clause that will send the a Titans seventh-round pick to the Rams.

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