Josh Jacobs |
Tuesday, November 29, 2022
TUESDAY TIDBITS: How Many Points?
Monday, November 28, 2022
Jalen Hurts Green Bay in Loss to Philly
By Eric Goska
Jalen Hurts rushed for 157 yards against the Packers (screen capture from NFL Game Pass) |
Ouch! That hurt!
Make that Jalen Hurts.
The elusive signal caller sparked a land grab for the ages Sunday
night as his Eagles trampled the Packers 40-33 at Lincoln Financial Field. In
doing so, the third-year phenom established a record for the most rushing yards
gained by a quarterback in a regular-season game against the Green and Gold.
Historically, the Packers have struggled containing quarterbacks
who can run. From Bobby Douglass to Michael Vick to Justin Fields, Green Bay
has yielded more real estate to throwers nimble on their feet than it cared to.
That Hurts falls into this category is no secret. He, along
with Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen and Kyler Murray, is one of four quarterbacks to
have rushed for more than 1,500 yards over the past three seasons according to
Pro Football Reference.
Hurts took his game to a new level against the Packers. He
ripped off 157 yards on 17 carries to easily break his career-high of 106 on 18
rushes in a 24-21 win over the Saints in 2020.
In hitting the century mark, Hurts joined Douglass (100
yards) and Vick (103) as the only two quarterbacks to hit triple digits against
Green Bay in the regular season. San Francisco’s Colin Kaepernick had 181 in a
playoff game in 2013.
Hurts started feasting early. He hustled for 24 and 28 the
first two times the Eagles faced third down.
Stymied on third-and-one on the Eagles’ third possession,
Hurts scooted for 42 the next time the team came up against that down. He also
moved the chains on an 8-yard advance to set up Miles Sanders’ 15-yard jaunt
that gave Philadelphia a 13-0 lead just six minutes into the game.
All that added up to 103 yards on seven totes for Hurts in
the first quarter. In the past 100 years, only Walter Payton (117 yards in
1977) and Fred Gehrke (114 in 1945) gashed Green Bay for more than 100 on the
ground in an opening period.
Though Hurts gained only 54 yards rushing the rest of the
way, he had opened the floodgates. The Eagles tore into Green Bay for 363 yards
with Sanders contributing 143 on 21.
Only the Bears of 1955 (406) and 1977 (375) chewed up more
at the expense of the Packers in a regular-season game.
Also of note, the combined 300 yards produced by Hurts and
Sanders is the most by a duo against Green Bay. The pair surpassed the 281
generated by the Rams’ Tom Wilson (223) and Joe Marconi (58) on Dec. 16, 1956.
So effective was Philadelphia that four players – Hurts
(5), Sanders (3), Boston Scott (2) and Kenneth Gainwell (1) – bounded for gains of 10 or
more yards. Sixty-seven years have passed since the Bears, with 16 such runs in
a 52-31 romp over Green Bay on Nov. 6, 1955, had more than 11 against Green Bay.
So, amidst all this carnage, a question emerges. How often
in this era of passing have teams surrendered 350 or more yards on the ground.
Nine times this century, according to Pro Football Reference.
And the 363 the Eagles gained ranks fifth best.
For Green Bay, that has to hurt.
Opening the
Floodgates
Since 1923, the six players who gained 90 or more yards
rushing in the first quarter of a regular-season game against the Packers.
Yds. |
Att. |
Player |
Team |
Date |
Result |
117 |
10 |
Walter Payton |
Bears |
Oct. 30, 1977 |
GB lost, 0-26 |
114 |
2 |
Fred Gehrke |
Rams |
Nov. 11, 1945 |
GB lost, 7-20 |
103 |
7 |
Jalen Hurts |
Eagles |
Nov. 27, 2022 |
GB lost, 33-40 |
99 |
5 |
Elmer Angsman |
Cardinals |
Oct. 10, 1948 |
GB lost, 7-17 |
95 |
6 |
Hugh McElhenny |
49ers |
Nov. 23, 1958 |
GB lost, 21-37 |
90 |
9 |
Chris Brown |
Titans |
Oct. 11, 2004 |
GB lost, 27-48 |
Sunday, November 27, 2022
Judgements XII
Nick Bosa Credit: Fox Sports and NFL Game Pass |
The Eagles will be there. So will Minnesota and Dallas. And
that’s not all.
The San Francisco 49ers aren’t just the best team in the NFC
West; they’re one of the hottest teams in the NFL. They won their last four,
passed Seattle in the division and have playmakers galore on offense – like
Deebo Saumuel … and George Kittle … and Christian McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk and Jimmy
Garoppolo.
But it’s not the offense that makes the 49ers such a tough
out. It’s the defense. It’s tough, violent and fast. Plus, like the other side
of the ball, it has a litany of playmakers … like Nick Bosa, Fred Warner, Dre
Greenlaw and Talanoa Hufanga.
It also has a litany of accomplishments. San Francisco leads
lead the league in total defense, leads the league in run defense and leads the
league in fewest points allowed. But, best of all, it’s getting better as the
season grows longer.
Over the last four games, the 49ers allowed an average of 10
points per game, outscored opponents 57-0 in the second half and just produced their
first shutout of the season, a 13-0 defeat of New Orleans.
It ended a streak of 332 straight games where the Saints
weren’t blanked.
“I like what I’m seeing from the 49ers right now,” said
Hall-of-Fame coach and NBC analyst
Tony Dungy.
So do I. They’re a run-heavy team that can beat you with the
pass, stifle you with their defense and outmuscle you on both sides of the
lines of scrimmage. Plus, they’re starting to run the table. In short, they’re
a lot like the 2019 49ers that wound up in Super Bowl LIV.
I know, they lost to Chicago, Denver and Atlanta. But that
was then, and this is now … and now they’re on a roll. All that’s needed is a
signature victory, and they have that opportunity next week. They play Miami, and
they’re an early 3-1/2-point favorite.
Philadelphia is the logical favorite to win the NFC, but
don’t sleep on San Francisco. The 49ers have all their bases covered.
SUNDAY SCHOOL: FIVE THINGS WE LEARNED
1. Taylor Heinicke is the Commander in Chief.
All he’s done is win five of his six starts and pull the Commanders … yes, the
Washington Freakin’ Commanders … into the middle of the playoff race. But now the
road turns sharply uphill: Their last five games are vs. opponents that ae a
combined 33-22 (including the 7-4 Giants twice).
2. Cincinnati won’t go away. The Bengals
have a brutal schedule down the stretch, but they just checked Tennessee off
the list … beating the Titans and doing it without Ja’Marr Chase. They’ve won
seven of their last nine and are tied with Baltimore atop the AFC North. But
that’s where things get sticky. The Ravens don’t play an opponent with a
winning record until Week 18 (Cincinnati), while the Bengals have games
remaining vs. Kansas City, Tampa Bay, New England and Buffalo.
3. Trevor Lawrence just took a giant step
forward. Finally, mercifully, he looked like the quarterback Jacksonville chose
first in the 2021 draft. Producing his best game as a pro, he led the Jags to a
last-minute upset of Baltimore – completing 29 of 37 for 321 yards, three TDs
and a game-winning two-point conversion. Biggest difference between this year
and last? Coaching. A year ago, it was Urban Meyer. Now it’s Doug Pederson.
4. The Jets may have found their quarterback.
Mike White, come on down. For the second time in four NFL starts, he threw for
over 300 yards and three TDS. More important, he led the Jets to a victory. If
the season were to end today, the Jets would be in the playoffs for the first
time in 12 seasons. Their defense is stellar. Their quarterback … not so much.
Until now.
5. It doesn’t matter who wins the NFC South.
It’s supposed to be Tampa Bay, but who cares? The division stinks. Nobody is
over .500, and Tampa Bay just lost to Cleveland. Cleveland. Last-place Carolina is a mess, running through its head
coach and three quarterbacks. Yet at 4-8, the Panthers are only a game out of
first.
THIRD AND 20
1. Tell
me again: Why did the Raiders think it was a good idea not to pick up a
fifth-year option on Josh Jacobs? All he did Sunday was produce 303 yards from
scrimmage and score the game-winning TD on an 86-yard blast up the middle.
2. Yes,
those were chants of “MVP, MVP” in Miami Sunday, and there’s a reason: Dolphins’
quarterback Tua Tagovailoa belongs in the conversation. The guy quarterbacks a
first-place team, leads the league in passer rating and has 19 TDs and only 3
interceptions. In all likelihood, the award comes down to Patrick Mahomes and
Jalen Hurts, with Mahomes the frontrunner. But don’t forget Tua.
3. Nope,
this is not the time to face Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. They
won their last 26 games in November and December. Next victim: Cincinnati.
4. The
line score says the Bengals’ Joe Burrow beat Tennessee with a 27 yard TD pass
to Tee Higgins, but that’s not entirely accurate. The Bengals’ defense won it,
holding Derrick Henry to 38 yards rushing, holding him to zero or minus yards
on seven of his 17 carries. Henry has failed to reach 100 yards in his last
three games.
5. The
only quarterback worth watching in Houston is the one the Texans take with the
first pick of the 2023 draft.
6. The
NFC East is a combined 32-13. The AFC East is 29-15. Neither has a losing team.
Horace Greeley was wrong. Go East, young man.
7. Shame
on Tampa Bay. The Bucs just lost tackle Tristan Wirfs to an injury that never
should’ve happened. Reason: The game had no business going to OT. Someone please
tell Todd Bowles that timeouts are meant to be used, especially when Tom Brady
has the ball. The Bucs kept Cleveland in this one and wound up beating themselves.
8. Memo
to Denver’s new management: You might look into Allstate for help. It claims to
“better protect you from Mayhem,” which is crippling your football team. The
coaching stinks. The quarterback stinks. Nobody can score. Fans are miserable.
Next week is another rock bottom waiting to happen. Take my advice.
9. The
more New Orleans loses, the more Philadelphia wins. The Eagles own the Saints’
2023 first-round draft choice, currently seventh overall.
10. Sorry,
Dallas, but the Cowboys don’t need OBJ. They need to rely more on their running
game, less on the forward pass.
11. Twelve
weeks into the season, and the Ravens are still blowing fourth-quarter leads …
only now to Jacksonville … and, yeah, that’s a concern.
12. Melvin
Gordon, consider yourself lucky. The Broncos just dealt you a Get Out of Jail
card.
13. Green
Bay rookie Christian Watson is a load, scoring six times in the past three
weeks. My only question: Why did it take the Packers so long to wake up to him?
14. Hard
not to like Tennessee’s Mike Vrabel … except when he defies common sense. That
happened Sunday when Vrabel called for a field goal in the fourth quarter vs.
Cincinnati. Down 20-13, the Titans were sitting on a fourth and-5at the
Cincinnati 20 with just over six minutes left. That’s when Vrabel called for a
field goal … when a field goal wouldn’t help. No matter if Tennessee made the
kick – which it did – it still needed a TD to win. Sadly, the Titans never had
a chance. Cincinnati held the ball the last six minutes.
15. There
is no reason for Matthew Stafford to return this season. The Rams can’t run,
can’t block and don’t have Cooper Kupp. So find out what you have in Bryce Perkins
and let Stafford work on those “Pizza, Pizza” audibles at home.
16. Matt
Rhule goes 11-27 at Carolina and doesn’t last three seasons. So what happens?
He gets a reported eight-year, $72 million deal to coach Nebraska. What a great
country.
17. Only
one question left for Green Bay at this point: Will the Packers admit the
obvious – namely, that the season is kaput -- and take a long, hard look at
Jordan Love? We caught a glimpse Sunday night. Time to see more.
18. About
time the Chargers delivered with a late TD. Until the last minute Sunday, they
found the end zone on only one of their previous 19 second-half possessions ...
with Justin Herbert, no less.
19. I
don’t know if the Eagles’ 363 yards rushing (and average of 7.4 yard per carry)
say more about them or Green Bay’s matador defense. What I do know is that
Philadelphia’s offensive line is second to none.
20. Two things I like about the Raiders’ Derek
Carr 1) His toughness and 2) his play in OT. He’s 9-2 when games go to a fifth
quarter.
SUNDAY’S GOLD JACKET STATS
n
The Jets’ Mike White has three TD passes in two
of his four NFL starts. Zach Wilson has none in 20.
n
According to Elias
Sports Bureau, Jalen Hurts’ 103 first-quarter yards rushing were the most single-quarter
rushing yards by a quarterback over the last 45 years. His 157 yards rushing for the game are also the most
ever by an Eagles’ quarterback , breaking Michael Vick’s record of 130 set in
2010.
n
DeSean Jackson has 50-yard receptions from 14 different
quarterbacks.
n
When Justin Tucker’s 67-yard field goal fell
short Sunday, it ended a streak of 65 consecutive field goals made in the
fourth quarter or overtime. He hadn’t missed one since 2015.
n
Carolina’s Sam Darnold wasn’t sacked for only
the third time in his 51 NFL starts.
n
According to NFL
Research, Washington has the time-of-possession advantage in every one of
Taylor Heinicke’s six starts this season.
SUNDAY’S GOLD JACKET QUOTES
n
“He made the easy look easy.” – Jets’ coach Robert Saleh on quarterback
Mike White.
n
“This is the kind of game that great teams win.”
– Cincinnati quarterback Joe Burrow on
Sunday’s win.
n
“We got lackadaisical out there.” – Baltimore linebacker Justin Houston on
the loss to Jacksonville.
n
“In the end, they just made the plays, and we
didn’t.” – Tampa Bay’s Tom Brady on
the Bucs’ latest loss.
n
“I hope the Texans don’t cause Bryce Young to stay
another year at Alabama.” – Tweet from former Houston Chronicle columnist John
McClain.
Josh Jacobs—303 yards from Scrimmage, Eighth Best Ever
Josh Jacobs Credit: CBS Sports and NFL Game Pass |
Wednesday, November 23, 2022
AFL Defensive Players of the Week – 1967
by Jeffrey J. Miller
Week 1 – September 3, 1967
Cornerback Goldie Sellers nabbed two passes in leading the Denver Broncos to a come-from-behind victory over the Patriots at Bears Stadium. The second-year man from Grambling State returned one of those picks 29 yards for a touchdown in the fourth quarter, providing the decisive points in the 26-21 win.
Week 2 – September 9, 1967
Defensive Player of the Week honors for the second weekend of the 1967 season goes to Kansas City linebacker Bobby Bell. The Chiefs’ perennial All-AFL performer swiped a Jackie Lee pass early in the third quarter and returned it 32 yards for a score. Bell also recorded seven unassisted tackles as the Chiefs rolled to a 25-20 victory.
Week 3 – September 17, 1967
Oakland linebacker Gus Otto had a monster day in leading the Black-and-Silver to a convincing 35-7 vanquishing of the Boston Patriots at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum. Otto registered nine total tackles (four unassisted), including three sacks of Boston quarterbacks. One of those takedowns was a strip sack that led directly to a touchdown pass from Daryle Lamonica to Bill Miller to give the Raiders a 28-8 third quarter lead. Otto also recorded an interception of Boston QB Babe Parilli in the second quarter, which led to a 17-yard touchdown pass from Lamonica to Hewritt Dixon.
Week 4 – September 24, 1967
Boston cornerback Don Webb was a six-year veteran
coming into the 1967 season, and the Boston brain trust wisely figured a man
with his experience could make a pretty good free safety. He’d prove them right continually over the
next several seasons, but the payoff really began this week against the Buffalo
Bills. The wily Webb, who played his
college ball at Iowa State pilfered two Tom Flores passes in leading the Pats
to a 23-0 skunking at War Memorial Stadium.
Week 5 – October 1, 1967
In a game that pitted two undefeated teams against
one another for the Western Division lead, All-AFL defensive tackle Tom Keating
of the Oakland Raiders was all over the field in recording a mind-boggling (for
an interior lineman) 16 tackles, seven of which were solo efforts. The former Buffalo Bill led the way to a
23-21 defeat of the Kansas City Chiefs. The
Raiders improved to 3-0, whjle the Chiefs fell to 2-1.
Week 6 – October 7, 1967
The Oakland Raiders were on a roll, starting their
season at 3-0. They were looking to
remain undefeated as they traveled to New York to face the 2-1 Jets on a
Saturday night at Shea Stadium. Led by 5-time
All-AFL linebacker Larry Grantham, the Jets defense held the explosive Raiders
to just 210 yards of total offense. Grantham
earned DPOW honors by intercepting two Daryle Lamonica passes in the second
quarter, both of which led directly to New York scores (a touchdown and a field
goal) and a crushing 27-14 defeat of the Raiders. This would be Oakland’s only loss of the
season.
Week 7 – October 15, 1967
Miller Farr was the hero in Houston’s 28-28 tie with
the Jets at New York’s Shea Stadium. The
six-foot, one-inch, 190-pound cornerback out of Wichita State accounted for
three of the Oilers’ six interceptions of Joe Namath, including one he returned
51 yards for a touchdown in the third quarter.
In all, Farr’s interception returns amounted to 128 yards!
Week 8 October 22, 1967
Veteran safety Jim Norton was the difference maker in Houston’s 24-19 victory over the Chiefs at Kansas City’s Municipal Stadium. Norton swiped two Len Dawson throws, returning one 23 yards for a touchdown which gave the Oilers a 24-3 second quarter lead. Norton also contributed six tackles (three solo, three assisted).
Week 9 – October 29, 1967
Oakland’s All-AFL cornerback Dave Grayson takes home
this week’s laurels in leading the Raiders to a resounding 51-10 destruction of
the division rival San Diego Chargers.
Grayson, a veteran of five AFL All-Star games, picked off three Charger
passes while 11 tackles (five unassisted).
The win allowed the Raiders to claim half-game lead in the West with a 6-1 record, while the Chargers dropped to second at 5-1-1.
Week 10 – November 5, 1967
On a team filled with All-Stars, Kansas City cornerback Willie Mitchell always seemed to get lost in the mix. He rarely got the headlines, but he sure earned them this week with his outstanding performance in the Chiefs 42-18 drubbing of the New York Jets. Mitchell picked off two Joe Namath passes, returning one 27 yards for a touchdown. He also led the Chiefs defense with 11 tackles, nine of which were unassisted.
Week 11 – November 12, 1967
For the second straight week, a Kansas City defensive back wins DPOW laurels. This week it’s Emmitt Thomas, who registered three takeaways in leading the Chiefs to a 33-10 win over the Patriots in Boston. The second-year corner out of tiny Bishop College in Texas intercepted two passes, including one returned for a touchdown, along with a fumble recovery in the victory.
New York’s
All-Star defensive end Verlon Biggs recorded three sacks in New York’s 29-24
over the Patriots at Boston’s Fenway Park.
One of the Jackson State product’s takedowns resulted in a Don Trull to
fumble, which Biggs recovered to kill a late second quarter Boston drive.
The win
improved the Jets to 7-3-1 on the season, increasing their Eastern Division
lead to a game and a half over the 5-3-1 Oilers, who were idle this
week.
Week 13 – November 26, 1967
Miami cornerback Dick Westmoreland earned this
week’s DPOW honors with outstanding performance against the Bills at the Orange
Bowl. Westmoreland picked off three Jack
Kemp throws, including two in the final frame to blunt late Buffalo scoring
threats. The North Carolina A&T alum
also knocked down two passes while recording seven tackles (six unassisted). Final score:
Miami 17, Buffalo 14.
Week 14 – December 3, 1967
Fletcher Smith didn’t get much playing time backing up
the great secondary Kansas City had during the mid-to-late 1960s. Most of his action came as the team’s primary
kickoff specialist. But when he got his
chance to get on the field, he most the most of it. Getting the start in this battle with the lowly
Buffalo Bills, Smith recorded two interceptions to help the Chiefs to a 23-13
win. Smith also registered seven solo
tackles and three assisted takedowns to aid the cause.
It was a battle of ineptitude, as the 3-9 Buffalo
Bills invaded Boston’s Fenway to take on the 3-8-1 Patriots. The regression the Bills had experienced
after winning the Eastern Division the three previous seasons was unimaginable,
but less than a year later they found themselves in a fight to avoid finishing
in last place. Well, Buffalo’s strong
safety Tom Janik was having none if it.
The long, tall Texan (six feet, three inches, 190 pounds) led an
inspired Bills to a surprising 44-16 shellacking, intercepting Boston QBs three
times, including one he returned 38 yards for a score.
Week 16 – December 17,
1967
Oakland linebacker J. R. Williamson earned defensive
honors this week with a stellar performance in the Raiders 38-29 win over the
New York Jets. The four-year veteran out
of Louisiana Tech picked off two Joe Namath passes—the first two interceptions
of his career—to lead the Raiders to victory.
Williamson contributed 12 tackles (seven solo) as the Raiders improved
to 12-1 on the season.
Week 17 - December 23, 1967
The Houston Oilers came into the final week of the
regular season at 8-4-1, one game ahead of the 7-5-1 New York Jets in the race
for the division crown. All they had to
do was win and they were in the playoffs.
Unfortunately for the Jets, the Oilers were scheduled to face the sad
sack Miami Dolphins in the finale. It
was expected to be a blowout, but games aren’t played on paper. It might as well have been, however, as the
Oilers rolled to an easy 41-10 win. The
Oilers defense was led by rookie safetyman Ken Houston, who recorded two
interceptions including one he returned 30 yards for the game’s final score.
Tuesday, November 22, 2022
Handicapping the HOF Class of 2023
By Clark Judge
The Pro Football Hall of Fame on Tuesday named its 28 modern-era semifinalists for the Class of 2023, and if 28 seems like an odd number it’s because it is. Under normal circumstances, the cut from 129 preliminary candidates should yield 25 semifinalists.
But not this time.
Because of ties, the Hall has more semifinalists for the
Class of 2023 than any class at any time in its history. Twice it had 27 but never
28 … that is, until now.
And who are they? The envelope, please:
Eric Allen, CB.
1988-94 (Philadelphia); 1995-97 (New Orleans); 1998-2001 (Oakland Raiders);
Jared Allen, DE.
2004-07 (Kansas City); 2008-13 (Minnesota); 2014-15 (Chicago); 2015 (Carolina).
Willie Anderson, T.
1996-2007 (Cincinnati); 2008 (Baltimore).
Ronde Barber, CB/S.
1997-2012 (Tampa Bay).
Anquan Boldin, WR.
2003-09 (Arizona); 2010-12 (Baltimore); 2013-15 (San Francisco); 2016
(Detroit).
Henry Ellard, WR.
1983-93 (L.A. Rams); 1994-98 (Washington); 1998 (New England).
Jahri Evans, G. 2006-16
(New Orleans); 2017 (Green Bay).
London Fletcher, LB.
1998-2001 (St. Louis); 2002-06 (Buffalo); 2007-13 (Washington).
Dwight Freeney, DE.
2002-12 (Indianapolis); 2013-14 (San Diego); 2015 (Arizona); 2016 (Atlanta);
2017 (Seattle, Detroit).
James Harrison, LB.
2002-12 (Pittsburgh); 2013 (Cincinnati); 2014-17 (Pittsburgh); 2017 (New
England).
Rodney Harrison, S.
1994-02 (San Diego); 2003-08 (New England).
Devin Hester, PR/KR/WR.
2006-13 (Chicago); 2014-15 (Atlanta); 2016 (Baltimore).
Torry Holt, WR.
1999-2008 (St. Louis); 2009 (Jacksonville).
Andre Johnson, WR. 2003-14
(Houston); 2015 (Indianapolis); 2016 (Tennessee).
Albert Lewis, CB.
1983-93 (Kansas City); 1994-98 (L.A./ Oakland Raiders).
Robert Mathis, DE.2003-16
(Indianapolis).
Darrelle Revis, CB.
2007-12 (N.Y. Jets); 2013 (Tampa Ba); 2014 (New England); 2015-16 (N.Y .Jets); 2017
(Kansas City).
Steve Smith, WR. 2001-13
(Carolina); 2014-16 (Baltimore).
Fred Taylor, RB.
1998-2008 (Jacksonville); 2009-10 (New England).
Joe Thomas, T.
2007-17 (Cleveland).
Zach Thomas, LB.
1996-2007 (Miami); 2008 (Dallas).
Hines Ward, WR.
1998-2011 (Pittsburgh).
DeMarcus Ware, LB.
2005-13 (Dallas); 2014-16 (Denver).
Ricky Watters, RB.
1992-94 (San Francisco); 1995-97 (Philadelphia); 1998-2001 (Seattle).
Reggie Wayne, WR.
2001-14 (Indianapolis).
Vince Wilfork, DT.
2004-14 (New England); 2015-16 (Houston).
Patrick Willis, LB.
2007-14 (San Francisco).
Darren Woodson, S.
1992-2003 (Dallas).
Included are five candidates in their first years of
eligibility (Evans, Freeney, James Harrison, Revis and Joe Thomas), seven wide
receivers (eight, if you include return specialist Devin Hester) and 19
individuals who were semifinalists for the Class of 2022. The group will now be reduced to 15 (no ties
this time) by the Hall’s board of 49 selectors, with results announced sometime
in early January.
So who makes it? Keep reading.
LOCKS AND FRONTRUNNERS
Tackle Joe Thomas and
cornerback Darrelle Revis are two of
the five candidates in their first years of eligibility, and they’re not only
certainties to make the next cut; they’re likely first-ballot inductees. You
can also book the five leftovers from this year’s Top 10 vote, which means Ronde Barber, Devin Hester, Zach Thomas, Andre
Johnson and DeMarcus Ware are virtual
certainties, too. But that’s where it gets fuzzy. Of the five who didn’t make
the first cut from 15 to 10 last year, linebacker Patrick Willis and pass rusher Jared
Allen are the most likely to return. In fact, I can see Willis moving into
the Top Ten for the Class of 2023. Then there’s Willie Anderson, a right tackle who this year broke through for the
first time. I’d hope he returns and believe he will. But he’s iffy. Finally, we
have wide receivers Reggie Wayne and
Torry Holt, and here’s where there
could be a speed bump. Two reasons: 1) The glut of wide receivers in this
class; and 2) their failure to move forward in three years as finalists. Each failed
to make the cut from 15 to 10 in each of the past three years. Worse, Johnson
passed them this year in his first year of eligibility. That suggests that
neither has momentum. At some point, the logjam at wide receiver has to break,
and maybe this is the year.
ON THE BUBBLE
The most intriguing question here has to do with two former
teammates: Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis. Both were star pass
rushers for the Indianapolis Colts, and either or both could push into to upper
echelon. Mathis was a semifinalist in his first year of eligibility (2022) but
that’s where his candidacy stopped. Freeney is in his first year of eligibility
and may have the momentum Mathis lacked this year. However, the two are
remarkably close in credentials. Mathis was a first-team All-Pro, five-time Pro
Bowler and three-time season leader in forced fumbles. He had 54 in his career, along with 123 sacks.
Freeney was a first-team All-Pro three times, a seven-time Pro Bowler and all-decade
choice who finished with 125-1/2 career sacks and 47 forced fumbles. Both are
in the Colts’ Ring of Honor and could cancel each other out. My guess? Freeney
moves forward; Mathis does not. Freeney had more All-Pro and Pro Bowl
designations and was chosen to an all-decade team. I’d include wide receiver Steve Smith in this group, too, mostly
because he has the resume voters love: Two All-Pro first teams, five Pro Bowls and
the rare receiving Triple Crown in 2005 (the league leader in receptions, yards
receiving and touchdown catches). The problem for Smith is the obstacle all
receivers face here: gridlock. There are too many at one position with similar
qualifications … but that’s where Smith gets separation. He’s the only Triple
Crown winner. If there’s a dark horse here, I’ll take cornerback Albert Lewis. I know, this is only his
second turn as a semifinalist (he made it in 2013). But that’s why I favor him.
There’s been a lot of buzz about him lately, and it must have resonated with
voters. They brought him back after passing on him for nine years. Plus, this
is his last year of eligibility as a modern-era candidate, and that could help.
Sam Mills was elected in his last year in 2022. Clay Matthews was a Top 10
finalist in 2021, his last year of eligibility and his first as a finalist.
There’s a trend there that could help Lewis.
LONGSHOTS
Basically, it’s the rest of the field. However, I wouldn’t
be surprised if someone emerged here – someone like a Darren Woodson. Me? I’d love to see Hines Ward breakthrough, but let me repeat: A glut of wide receivers
poses an obstacle. Plus, this is Ward’s seventh consecutive year as a
semifinalist, and he hasn’t advanced beyond this point. Logic says: With the
competition at his position more fierce now, why should that change? I’d also
like to see running back Ricky Watters
get through, but I’m a realist. He’s had little traction since becoming eligible
for the Hall in 2007. This is his third time as a semifinalist. Fred
Taylor suffers from the same issue. He has the numbers; he doesn’t have the
votes. Ranked 17th among all-time rushers,
Taylor is the only Hall-eligible running back in the top 17 who’s not in Canton.
However, that hasn’t moved voters. This is his fourth consecutive year as a
semifinalist, and he hasn’t budged. One last Hail Mary: Henry Ellard. He hasn’t been a semifinalist before, but he is now …
in his last year of eligibility. Ellard has 15,718 total yards in his career –
including 13,777 receiving, which ranked third all-time when he retired after
the 1998 season. He also ranked sixth in career receptions then. Ellard has a daunting and, frankly, improbable
task. Jumping a raft of receivers to reach the final 15. I just don’t see it
happening.
TUESDAY TIDBITS: "Perception is Reality"
Steve Young Art credit: Merv Corning |
Sunday, November 20, 2022
Judgements XI
The Kansas City Chiefs will win their division for the seventh
straight season, and the league MVP race has been reduced to Patrick Mahomes
and everyone else.
If there were doubts before Sunday night, there are none
now. The only team that could’ve challenged the Chiefs in the AFC West were the
L.A. Chargers, and they’re toast -- three games behind after Sunday’s 30-27
defeat.
But forget the Bolts. This night was all about Kansas City
and why it’s the premier team in the AFC and maybe the NFL.
It produced enough
big plays on offense and defense to do more than complete a series sweep of the
Chargers; it produced its 25th consecutive victory in the months of
November and December and sent a message to the rest of the AFC that the conference
race still goes through K.C.
Which is where Mahomes comes in.
Without Tyreek Hill, the Chiefs’ passing game was supposed
to be impaired this season. Except it’s not. Mahomes tops the league in
touchdown passes and passing yards. Furthermore, two weeks after leading the
Chiefs to a come-from-behind victory over Tennessee he led them to another
come-from-behind victory over the Chargers, his 14th straight road
victory over a division opponent.
Down by four with under two minutes left, it took him only
six plays to go 75 yards and drop the hammer on a Chargers with a third TD pass
to tight end Travis Kelce. If that sounds familiar, it should. Kelce has
victimized the Bolts for 21 catches, 357 yards and five TDs the past three
games – all victories.
“Magic Mahomes does it again,” Kelce said after Sunday’s
victory.
That should sound familiar, too. In his last five starts, Mahomes’
passing yardage looks like this: 338, 423, 446, 331 and 329. Now that the Chiefs are on top of the AFC at
8-2, the AFC West is theirs and Mahomes is cranking out a litany of
highlight-reel plays, the inevitable has occurred.
Mahomes is the frontrunner of what once was a crowded MVP
field.
Once upon a time, he, Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson were the
frontrunners for an award that hasn’t been won by a non-quarterback since 2012
(Adrian Peterson). Then Allen separated from the pack, only to yield in recent
weeks to Mahomes and Philadelphia’s Jalen Hurts.
But now Mahomes seems
in command, partly because the Chiefs are accelerating and mostly because his
play is, too. Granted, there’s time for others to close. But Mahomes and the
Chiefs would have to take a couple of giant steps backward for that to happen.
And I don’t see it.
SUNDAY SCHOOL: FIVE THINGS WE LEARNED
1. Maybe they’re the
same ol’ Jets after all. It’s not that they lost to New England. It’s that
they lost to New England for the second time this season and the 14th
straight time since a 2015 victory. Of all the offensive shortcomings Sunday,
this is the one that gets your attention: The Jets never had a second-half snap
beyond their own 35. Instead, they had seven second-half punts. But that’s what
happens when your quarterback is sacked four times, your offense produces 103
yards and nobody cracks the end zone. There’s nothing wrong with the Jets’ defense. The
questions surround underachieving quarterback Zach Wilson and a passing offense
that Jets’ receiver Garrett Wilson called “sorry.” Bingo. “Hopefully,” Garrett
said, “this is a wake-up call for some people in the facility.”
2. Dallas just joined
the NFC’s upper tier. That was more than a defeat of powerful Minnesota. It
was a beatdown … in Minnesota, no less … and it came via the Cowboys’ most
complete performance of the season. Their running backs scored four times.
Quarterback Dak Prescott missed on only three of 25 passes. Their attack was
balanced, with 40 runs, 30 passes and zero sacks. Plus, their defense was so
dominant that it kept Kirk Cousins from throwing a TD pass for the first time
in 40 games and sacked him seven times. In short, one week after getting
stunned by Green Bay, Dallas responded with a signature victory … and the rest
of the NFC should take notice. Minnesota and Philadelphia comprised the NFC
hierarchy until Sunday. Now they have company.
3. It doesn’t matter
who does the play-calling in Denver. Nathaniel Hackett? Klint Kubiak?
Doesn’t make a difference. Kubiak took over for his head coach on Sunday, and the
Broncos responded with a TD on their first series. But after that? Nothing but
field goals and a 22-16 overtime loss. It was the eighth time in 10 starts that
the Broncos failed to score more than 16 points and the eighth time where
Russell Wilson had no more than one TD pass. Talk about a Rocky Mountain low. Nathaniel
Hackett, report to the principal’s office.
4. Bailouts no longer
needed for Detroit. That’s three straight victories for the Lions,
including two in a row on the road. Prior to last weekend they’d lost their
last 13 there. Now they’ve conquered a Giants team that, prior to Sunday, was
7-2 and hadn’t allowed more than 23 points in all but one game (Seattle). At
4-6, the Lions have jumped to second in the NFC North and have one more victory
than all of last season (3-13-1). Cue Al Michaels Do you believe in miracles?
5. Turn out the
lights. The party’s over for the Rams.
They lose Cooper Kupp to a high ankle sprain. They may lose Matt
Stafford to a possible concussion. They lose to New Orleans. It’s over, people.
The Rams become the latest Super Bowl champion not to defend its title the
following season. Worse, with two more losses they become the first Super Bowl
winner since the 2003 Tampa Bay Bucs to follow with a losing season.
THIRD AND 20
1. With
the first pick of the 2023 draft, the Houston Texans select Bryce Young …
quarterback … University of Alabama.
2. Let’s
get this straight: There is no quarterback controversy in Washington. The
Commanders are 4-1 with Taylor Heinicke and 5-1 in Heinicke’s last six road
games. They’re 2-4 with Carson Wentz. This isn’t rocket science, people.
Nevertheless, after Washington’s latest win, coach Ron Rivera was asked why he
decided on Heinicke as his starter. “Winning,” he answered. Imagine that. As
Herm Edwards reminded us years ago,” you play the game to win.” Time to change
the conversation, people.
3. So
Mahomes is the MVP leader. But I’d include Derrick Henry in the conversation,
too. He’s responsible for 41.2 percent of the Titans’ offensive yardage and
half of their offensive TDs (including one TD pass). All I know is that without
Henry the Titans are little more than ordinary (6-5 without him in
regular-season games), and isn’t that what defines an MVP?
4. Mahomes
vs. Justin Herbert looks more and more like this decade’s version of Peyton vs.
TB12. The more you see, the more you can’t wait to see it again.
5. Baltimore
has held double-digit leads in all 10 games this season, but that’s not what I
like most about the Ravens. Lamar Jackson and Justin Tucker aren’t, either. The
schedule is: The Ravens don’t face an opponent with a winning record until the
final game of the season (Cincinnati).
6. One
question I have about Marcus Jones’ game-winning punt return, and it has
nothing to do with a block in the back. It’s about the punt itself. Namely, why
wasn’t it kicked OUT OF BOUNDS? Someone? Anyone?
7. If
I were a Browns’ fan, I’d be questioning coach Kevin Stefanski, too. With two snaps
to gain a yard in the third quarter, he doesn’t give the ball to Nick Chubb.
Nope. Too easy. Instead, he calls for … two
QB sneaks? Yep. We don’t make ‘em up. Result: No first down, another
Browns’ loss and a seat that just got warmer for Stefanski.
8. There’s
more to the decline and fall of the Rams than a lackluster offense and
injuries. There’s a defense that doesn’t force turnovers. Over the last eight
games, the Rams have one.
9. Now
we find out about New England: The Pats play Minnesota and Buffalo the next 11
days. Bill Belichick often says football season begins after Thanksgiving.
Well, then, take your mark.
10. Justin
Fields is an electric performer reminiscent of Michael Vick, and if he’s on your
Fantasy Football team you know what I mean. But he’s still more of a running
back than a quarterback. The guy makes too many inaccurate throws, and that
last-minute interception was the latest example. I know, he was grabbing his
left shoulder, suggesting a possible injury. But this just in: He doesn’t throw
with his left arm.
11. If
the Jeff Saturday hire makes the Colts “a clown show,” as one anonymous Colts’ staff
member reportedly called it, then what does that make the Raiders and Eagles? Las
Vegas lost to Saturday’s Colts, and the Eagles had to rally to beat them Sunday.
I’ll be honest: If it’s a “clown show,” it’s one I want to see.
12. More
proof that there are no dynasties without Tom Brady: Sunday’s CFL Grey Cup.
Toronto rallied to overcome Winnipeg, 24-23, and deny the Blue Bombers a
three-peat.
13. Too
bad Las Vegas doesn’t play Denver more than twice a year. The Raiders swept
them again this season, won their last six vs. the Broncos and have only one
victory over an opponent this season not named Denver. It’s Houston.
14. As
bad as the Raiders are, imagine where they’d be would be without Davante Adams.
He has six 100-yard games, including three in a row, scored the game winner
Sunday and has more than twice as many touchdowns (10) as the Raiders’ runner-up
(Josh Jacobs, 4).
15. Jalen
Hurts scored the game-winning TD for Philadelphia, but he wasn’t the reason the
Eagles beat Indianapolis. Defense was. The Eagles forced Indy to settle for
field goals on two second-half possessions inside the Philly 20, including one
in the last two minutes that reached the 5. It also held star running back
Jonathan Taylor to 35 yards on 15 carries over the Colts’ last 10 series. Surprising?
Not really. Philadelphia hasn’t allowed a second-half TD in its past four
games.
16. What
happened to Saquon Barkley? A Comeback Player of the Year candidate, he had
only 35 scrimmage yards (including 22 rushing on 15 carries) vs. Detroit.
Combine that with Giants’ three turnovers and lackluster defense, and you know
why Big Blue fizzled.
17. Great
note per Nick Wright of First Things
First on FS1: The Broncos would be 9-1 if they scored 18 points in
regulation in every game. Look it up. I did. He’s right.
18. Uh,
no, as someone suggested, Atlanta’s Cordarrelle Patterson is not making a Hall
of Fame case with an NFL record nine kickoff returns for TDs. Since the Hall
opened in 1963 only three specialists have been elected to Canton – two kickers
and one punter. Granted, Devin Hester
should break that streak soon (he was a Top 10 finalists this year), but
setting a special-teams record doesn’t qualify you for admission to the Hall
without a ticket. Remember: Tom Dempsey set an NFL mark when he nailed a 63-yard
field goal in 1970, a record that lasted 43 years. He’s not in Canton and has
never been discussed.
19. Micah
Parsons will win the league’s Defensive Player of the Year. But how about a push
for New England’s Matthew Judon? He had 1-1/2 more sacks Sunday, putting him at
a league-leading 13-1/2 for the year. Only one player in Patriots’ history has
more in one season, and that’s Andre Tippett with 18-1/2 in 1984 and 16-1/2 in
1985. He’s in the Pro Football Hall of Fame.
20. The
Bills will need more than snow plows and loyal fans to bail them out in the
coming weeks. They’ll need a running game, too, and they just found one Sunday.
With Devin Singletary and James Cook each rushing for 86 yards, Buffalo had 171
on the ground. That took the heat off an embattled Josh Allen, and, trust me, that’s
critical to Buffalo’s chances for a Super Bowl run.
SUNDAY’S GOLD JACKET STATS
n
The New York Jets had 2 second-half yards, the
fewest by any club in any half this season.
n
The Cowboys’ Brett Maher is the only kicker with
four field goals of 60 or more yards, and he’s 4-for-4 from that distance. No
other kicker has more than two.
n
Baltimore’s Justin Tucker has made his last 65
field-goal attempts in the fourth quarter or overtime. The runner-up has 14.
n
The Vikings are a minus-2 in point differential,
the worst for any 8-2 team in its first 10 games of the season.
n
The Raiders’ Derek Carr is 8-2 in overtime, the
best winning percentage (.800) among quarterbacks in at least 10 career OT
games.
n
Baltimore has at least one takeaway in 12
straight games, the longest active streak in the NFL.
n
The Chiefs haven’t lost to the Chargers in SoCal
since 2013.
SUNDAY’S GOLD JACKET QUOTES
n
“It was almost like a movie script. I think of
all the football movies – “Rudy,” “Any Given Sunday” and “Remember the Titans
-- this beats it.” – New England special
teams captain Deatrich Wise on Marcus Jones’ game-winning punt return.
n
“It was dog s**t.” – Jets’ coach Robert Saleh on his team’s second-half offense.
n
“I’m emotional because I love Frank Reich. He’s
one of the best damn football coaches I’ve ever been around. I was hoping he
and I would be able to coach against each in this game.” -- Philadelphia coach Nick Sirianni after
beating Indianapolis.
n
“I’m not finished.” – Atlanta’s Cordarrelle Patterson on his kick-return record.
n
“I’ve covered the NFL in Houston for more than
four decades. I’ve seen a lot bad offenses. This Texans’ offense just might be
the worst of all.” – Hall-of-Fame writer
John McClain on Twitter.