By Nick Webster
So much talk in the sports world these days is about ‘player
empowerment’ particularly in the NBA where it has essentially taken over the
league. Though it’s difficult to see the
actions of Le’Veon Bell or in the past few days Ezekiel Elliot and suggest its
not at play in the NFL as well. Even in
the NFL this isn’t really new, think back to Eli Manning, Bo Jackson, or JohnElway in the draft . . . or working your way out of town while doing situps in
your driveway!
So who are the NFL’s all-time hired guns, mercenaries
willing to go anywhere to play another day for pay? How can you measure such a thing? First, a hired gun must be good, a quality
player, many players have bounced around multiple teams but frequently this
isn’t driven by the player themselves but rather teams’ unwillingness to invest
in them long-term; think Ryan Fitzpatrick. So let’s start with players who at some point in their career were
All-Pro’s, these are players with leverage, the ones teams want. They must have played for at least three
different teams as a single move is often attributable to a change in scheme,
or coach, or a team parting ways with an aging vet.
Finally, the player must have played well in
his stops to avoid the ‘aging vet’ scenario; Jared Allen wasn’t a mercenary
when he went to Carolina, he was trying to hang on at the end of a phenomenal
career.
We’ve come up with a fairly simple way to identify the
mercenaries of all-time, take the value of a player’s peak season from each
team and add them together.
An example,
who was more mercenary Eric Dickerson or Tony Dorsett? The former had just over 13,000 yards the
latter just under 13,000, but Dickerson produced his yardage across 4 different
teams and only his final season in Atlanta could really be described as hanging
on. Using our method, Dickerson gets
credit for 4,584 yards across the four different teams and Dorsett gets 2,349
across two teams, this certainly passes the eye test, Dickerson was a
mercenary, Dorsett was not.
But how do we compare across positions, after all DeionSanders needs a fair shake in this fight.
Not our favorite metric, but one publicly available is Pro Football
Reference’s Approximate Value (AV). Not
arguing the merits of the measure – as I have many misgivings – but it is a way
to quantify by some measure the value players have created across
positions. We take essentially the same
as the Dickerson-Dorsett approach but using AV to compare across
positions. This does limit us to
post-1960 as that’s the period where the metric is available, which we think is
fine as there was generally less player movement in the ’40s and ’50s.
This might not feel intuitive at first, but Washington was
an All-Pro and played in many Pro-Bowls as well, he played from 1991 to 2007 a
full 17 seasons, played for seven different teams, twice he played for a team for a
single season, three times just two seasons. While he certainly wasn’t the first name to mind, it does appear that
Washington fits the criteria well, odd as the son of a man who played his
entire 10-year NFL career with a single team.
In the second spot, an intuitive choice shows up. TO bounced all over the league, often leaving
unhappiness behind, but he always produced with 1,000-yard seasons with the
49ers, Eagles and Cowboys and – often forgotten – he had a near-miss with 983
in his final season with the Bills. He
may have been miffed about not being first-ballot Hall of Fame, but to our mind
he’s an absolute first ballot Mercenary.
Wilber Marshall brings a slightly different feel to the
list, was he a mercenary, or simply a man willing to follow Buddy Ryan around
the league late in his career, we think more the latter.
Then there’s Deion Sanders, we think there’s no doubt he
belongs high on the list, the man was the inspiration for taking on the
exercise to begin with. Like Elway from
the prior decade, he used baseball in part as a wedge between himself and his
first team. In San Francisco in ’94 he
found a team on the cusp of winning, and willing to put up with him being in
for a partial season to get them over the Cowboys hump.
Then, in the ultimate mercenary move, after
leading the 49ers over the Cowboys in ’94 he switches teams in ’95 going to the
very same Cowboys picking up a second straight Super Bowl ring in doing
so. After a series of All-Pro seasons in
Dallas Deion signed with divisional foe Washington in 2000, again moving away
from a team to join a hated rival. He
wasn’t done, posing a 52.5 passer rating against in 2000, but decided to hang
it up after the season likely due in-part to the lackluster 8-8 Redskins team.
Finally Deion came back in 2004 to join a
Baltimore Raven team that was loaded on defense which will – in all likelihood
– send four players to the Hall of Fame once Reed and Suggs are qualified. He played quite well in ’04 as well with 3
Int’s and 0 TD’s allowed, then in 1995 it was over.
Next on the list, Vinny Testaverde feels a bit more like Ryan
Fitzpatrick than we’d like, at his best he was a quality QB but was rarely
someone a team wasn’t looking to upgrade from or use as a plan B.
Rod Woodson checks in at the next spot and is the highest of
any player with just 4 different teams, remember more teams more peak seasons
to add, in other words, Rod Woodson was probably most consistently a quality
player across all the teams he played for.
This does pass a basic smell test, he was a Defensive Player of the Year
for Pittsburgh and led the NFL in interceptions when he was with both the
Baltimore Ravens and the Oakland Raiders.
Andre Rison is an interesting case mercenary or malcontent,
I tend to think more the latter. Rison
was the very rare example of a highly drafted player who had an excellent
rookie season only to get shipped off the next season and start his second year
with a different team posting his only All-Pro season in year-two with the
Falcons.
Brandon Marshall and Kevin Greene are next on the list. Greene might have come out higher had we
allowed players credit for multiple stints with the same team. We thought about this scenario and
thoughtfully decided to exclude it as so frequently there’s a return to where a
player either started or spent a meaningful portion of their career, hard to be
called a mercenary for coming home again.
Does Brandon Marshall find his way onto an NFL roster this year and
break the tie; hard to see, but he could be no more than a training camp injury
away.
The final name on our list is another familiar one and the
fifth Hall of Famer on the list. Moss
came back from lost time in Oakland to have one of the all-time seasons for a
wideout in his first season with the Patriots. After his time with the Pats Moss rotated though teams but was never the
same impact player again.
Who is the current generation, could we see Le’Veon Bell
added to this list, Odell Beckham, others?
It may never be the like the NBA – and we certainly hop not – but with
Bell and Beckham it’s becoming increasingly clear that while the teams may
still hold more power, the balance is tilting in the players’ direction with
every passing season.
I also think of Bob Brown for the Eagles, Rams and Raiders, a powerful blocker, Coy Bacon, and Bubba Baker, great pash rushers for multiple teams, and Darrelle Revis, who finally got a ring with the Patriots.
ReplyDeleteAll the players you named were included in the analysis, and you're right they were very high, but fell just short each of them in the 10 to 20 range. Bacon didn't score particularly highly with the chargers, and that hurt him.
DeleteDo Earl Morrall and Norm Snead qualify? Seems like pass rusher is the ultimate mercenary position. Coy Bacon was already mentioned, Pat Toomay was another guy. 94 Niners as the best mercenary team. I remember they brought in Rickey Jackson (good) and Richard Dent (bad), and then later added Tim Harris. Also had Charles Mann.
ReplyDeleteThe focus here was on individual players as mercenaries, but I'm positive if we looked at which team had the most at the same time the 49ers from 1994 would win. As well as those you named, obviously Dion, Gary Plummer, lots of others. They basically rebuilt the defense entirely from the prior season.
ReplyDeleteMaybe I am just sour grapes, but I thought that Niner defence from 1994 was assembled illegally. That's alot of All Stars and egos for one defensive unit, but I think the league just couldn't handle the idea of the Cowboys winning three championships in a row.
ReplyDeleteThey even got away with defensive fouls during the NFC Championship Game but admittedly, Dallas hurt themselves with turnovers.
Whether the rules for free agency were broken or not, it was good to see great players like Rickey Jackson and Bryant Young get rings. Steve Young finally got the monkey off his back, but was this really the way he wanted to do it, though a win is a win...