Saturday, January 28, 2017

Hall of Fame Predictions: The Edge Rusher

By John Turney

The day before Super Bowl 51 the Hall of Fame selection committee will meet and debate and discuss the credentials of 15 modern-era players, one senior and two contributors. We will attempt to break down and predict who will be in the Class of 2017.

Remember only five of the 15 modern-era players can be voted in, and there will be a simple yes or no vote on the contributors (Paul Tagliabue and Jerry Jones) and the senior nominee (Ken Easley).

Now, the edge rusher:

The Hype: Jason Taylor was the 2006 NFL AP Defensive Player of the Year and 2007 NFL Walter Payton Man of the Year a 2-time AFC Defensive Player of the Year, and was a Second-team All-Decade selection. In addition, he was a three-time First-team All-Pro and a six-time Pro Bowler. He had 9 defensive touchdowns and three safeties for a total of 12 defensive scores. He had 139.5 sacks, 69.5 run/pass stuffs, and 46 forced fumbles and recovered 29. As far as the "numbers" go, he ranks near the top of this year's finalists.

The Knock:  No real knocks on Taylor's career unless someone wants to make an issue of his lack of a Super Bowl ring.

The Prediction:  Taylor will eventually be elected to the Hall of Fame in our view, but not this year. We think he will advance to the Final 10, but be eliminated there. We equate his career, roughly, with others of his era, like Michael Strahan and he was not a first-ballot HOFer.


  1. John, first let me commend you on your work. How do you feel about Jason Taylor being elected to the HOF on the first ballot? He had a 15-year career like Strathan did but his numbers are slightly better, i.e., forced fumbles (46 vs 24),fumble recoveries (29 vs 15), and defensive touchdowns (9 vs 3).

    1. I don't think Taylor should have been first ballot- before him only Gino, Deacon, Reggie, and Bruce were first-ballot. Jason Taylor, while a HOFer, is not in their class.

      Strahan was excellent against the run. Had much more base, held his end on the left side and was a consistent rusher.

      Taylor was a blind side guy who was not stout versus the run, was a "move" end, great speed and moves, great rusher, great ability to separate ball from QB, but not a complete DE like Strahan was